Kronos, a foundation model, was tested against Brownian motion for 5-minute BTC forecasts; results show no significant outperformance.
Browsing Category
Security & Privacy
240 posts
Week Three — Foundation model vs Brownian motion. Kronos on five-minute BTC.
Kronos, a foundation model, does not outperform Brownian motion in predicting 5-minute Bitcoin moves, challenging assumptions about modern AI in trading.
Introducing Forezai · TradingAgents — a committee of LLMs decides paper-trades
Forezai · TradingAgents introduces a system where a committee of large language models makes paper-trading decisions, advancing AI-driven research in financial markets.
The Kill Switch: What the Anthropic Export Ban Really Costs the AI Industry
A U.S. export-control order forced Anthropic to disable Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 worldwide, raising reliability concerns for AI buyers.
AI Trading Bot — Week Two: The candidate edge collapsed
The promising BTC fair-value strategy from an AI trading bot has collapsed, with all tested strategies now in the red, indicating no confirmed edge remains.
Agentic Loop Failure Modes: A Production Taxonomy at the End of Year One
A comprehensive taxonomy of failure modes in production agentic AI systems after one year of deployment, highlighting detection and mitigation strategies.
Cybersecurity operations signal monitor: A backdoor in a LinkedIn job offer
Cybersecurity analysts have identified a potential backdoor embedded in a LinkedIn job listing, prompting security alerts and investigations.
The Safety Card, Played From Every Side: David Sacks, Anthropic, and the Fable Standoff
David Sacks says Anthropic refused to fix a Fable S jailbreak; Anthropic says the flaw was minor. Key evidence remains private.
Saturation. The ten-essay framework, closed.
The European sovereign-LLM framework concludes after ten comprehensive essays, marking a strategic milestone ahead of key EU AI deadlines.
Anchor. The Schwarz Group model.
Schwarz Group commits €11B to Europe’s largest AI data center, exemplifying a unique industrial-anchor investment model at scale.