A new drip email platform tailored for developer onboarding tests a single-idea approach to improve activation rates, with early validation planned at five startups.
One-idea-per-email drip platform for developer onboarding
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The Co-Founder’s Black Hole — A Structural Read on Jack Clark’s Automated AI R&D Essay
Jack Clark predicts a >60% chance of fully automated AI research by 2028, highlighting structural risks and institutional gaps in AI policy.
Every Benchmark Launched 2023-2024 Has Fallen — The METR / SWE-Bench / CORE-Bench / MLE-Bench / PostTrainBench Sequence
Every benchmark measuring AI research and development launched between 2023-2024 has reached saturation or is nearing it, signaling accelerated AI capability growth.
Jack Clark Says It Out Loud — Reading the Co-Founder’s 60%/2028 Estimate on Automated AI R&D
Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark publicly estimates a 60% probability that AI systems capable of autonomously building their own successors will emerge by 2028.
The Compute Concentration Audit: When Sovereign Wealth Funds Notice Three Companies Own the Frontier
Major regulators are investigating the dominance of AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud in AI infrastructure, affecting global tech strategies and investments.
The Skills Marketplace, Six Months Later: Predicted vs Actual
An analysis of the emergent skills marketplace six months post-prediction, highlighting growth, fragmentation, and future challenges.
The Power Bottleneck: AI Data Centers and the Grid Cliff Approaching 2027-2028
Power constraints threaten AI data center expansion, with capacity growth outpacing grid upgrades, risking deployment delays and increased costs by 2028.
The Continual Learning Research Map: Where the Memento Constraint Stands in May 2026
An update on the research landscape for the Memento Constraint, showing progress, challenges, and timelines for achieving genuine continual learning in AI systems.
Are Polymarket Trading Bots Actually Profitable? The Math Behind 2026’s Prediction-Market Arbitrage Industry
An on-chain analysis shows only 0.51% of wallets profit over $1,000 on Polymarket in 2024-2025. Most retail bots lose money or break even in 2026.
October 2026: What an Anthropic IPO Actually Unlocks
Anthropic’s planned October 2026 IPO at a valuation exceeding $850B will reshape AI industry dynamics, offering strategic advantages beyond capital raising.
